Netherlands vs Italy prediction 18/06/2023 Nations League
Netherlands
2 : 3
Italy
The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.
Contents
- Date: 18/06/2023
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- KO: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
- Venue: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)
The UEFA Nations League Third Place Play-Off takes place at the De Grolsh Veste in Enschede as the Netherlands host Italy.
An entertaining set of UNL semi-finals saw Croatia and Spain emerge victorious, and those nations will clash in the final of this competition later on Sunday. However, before that exciting occasion in Rotterdam, a decent contest can be expected, with both nations keen to finish their seasons on a high.
Netherlands vs Italy Betting Tips: BTTS
While the need for this fixture can be questioned, we should still expect an entertaining matchup on Sunday with third place up for grabs.
With no need to sit back and defend, both nations should adopt an attack-minded approach in an event that usually sees attacking and entertaining contests. While UEFA does have a third-place playoff for European Championships, previous third-place matches at the FIFA World Cup have typically followed that script. 11 of 12 previous third-placed games at that competition saw over 2.5 goals scored while five of the last seven also saw BTTS.
Both nations have also displayed defensive weakness in recent performances, and with that in mind, we´re confidently backing both teams to get on the score sheet.
In this competition, eight of the Netherlands' last ten games finished with BTTS, while six of the Italian´s last nine UNL games also saw both teams scoring. More recently, the Dutch have managed just one clean sheet in their last five (against Gibraltar) while conceding 11 goals.
Likewise, the Italians have proven unreliable defensively, with just one clean sheet in their five most recent fixtures (against Malta). Mancin´s side also leaked two goals or more in three of their last four games, all of which ended in defeat.
A quick check of the h2h record also adds weight to the BTTS pick, with three of their last four meetings seeing both nations score. In addition, three of their six most recent games since 2013 finished as a 1:1 draw. However, with the beaches awaiting, both nations will be keen to get this one done in 90 minutes, so we´ll stick with the both to score choice in what should be an entertaining prelude to the UNL finale on Sunday.
Netherlands vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Italy
1 : 1
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
-
Netherlands
0 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 1
Netherlands
Friendly International
-
Netherlands
1 : 2
Italy
Friendly International
-
Netherlands
1 : 2
Italy
Friendly International
Netherlands team news
Head Coach Koeman has a 23-man squad to choose from; however, Matthijs de Ligt is unavailable, having suffered a calf injury in training.
Koeman is likely to make changes to the Dutch starting XI following a disappointing showing in Wednesday´s 4:2 loss against Croatia.
Last matches of Netherlands
-
Netherlands
1 : 0
Republic of Ireland
Euro Qualification
-
Greece
0 : 1
Netherlands
Euro Qualification
-
Netherlands
1 : 2
France
Euro Qualification
-
Republic of Ireland
1 : 2
Netherlands
Euro Qualification
-
Netherlands
3 : 0
Greece
Euro Qualification
Netherlands lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Justin Bijlow
Defenders
-
22
Denzel Dumfries
-
12
Lutsharel Geertruida
-
4
Virgil van Dijk
-
5
Nathan Aké
Midfielders
-
6
Mats Wieffer
-
21
Frenkie de Jong
-
18
Donyell Malen
-
11
Xavi Simons
-
10
Noa Lang
Forwards
-
9
Cody Gakpo
Italy team news
Roberto Mancini has a strong 24-man squad to choose from; however, Alessandro Bastoni is expected to miss out with the flu.
Otherwise, the Azzurri are unlikely to make too many alterations from the starting XI that suffered a late 2:1 loss against Spain on Thursday.
Last matches of Italy
-
Malta
0 : 2
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
Italy
1 : 2
England
Euro Qualification
-
Austria
2 : 0
Italy
Friendly International
-
Albania
1 : 3
Italy
Friendly International
-
Hungary
0 : 2
Italy
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
13
Rafael Tolói
-
15
Francesco Acerbi
-
23
Alessandro Buongiorno
-
3
Federico Dimarco
Midfielders
-
7
Davide Frattesi
-
16
Bryan Cristante
-
6
Marco Verratti
Forwards
-
20
Wilfried Gnonto
-
9
Mateo Retegui
-
22
Giacomo Raspadori
Key Facts Netherlands vs Italy
- The Netherlands have seen BTTS in eight of their last ten UNL games
- Italy have seen BTTS in six of their last nine UNL matches
- Three of the last four meetings between these nations saw BTTS
- Three of the last six meetings between these nations finished as a 1:1 draw
Main prediction Netherlands - Italy
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
Do you agree with Ryan Allan ?
46 votes
Yes 74%
46 votes
No 26%
Additional predictions
Over 2.5
Best odds:1.85
Netherlands & Italy current standing in UEFA Nations League
League A | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | - | 0 | ||||||
2 | - | 0 | ||||||
3 | - | 0 | ||||||
4 | - | 0 |