Brighton vs Ajax prediction 26/10/2023

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

2 : 0

Ajax

Ajax

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  • Date: 26/10/2023
  • Competition: Europa League
  • KO: 20:00 UTC +1 / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: The American Express Community Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)

Europa League action returns to the American Express Community Stadium on Thursday evening as Brighton hosts managerless Ajax.

Brighton vs Ajax Betting Tips: BTTS / Over 2.5 goals

Few might have imagined Brighton being odds-on-favourites against an Ajax side that reached the semi-finals of the Champions League just a few years ago. 

While the Seagulls have enjoyed a dramatic rise in the past twelve months, Ajax have gone in the other direction and the Dutch side arrives on the south coast remarkably inside the Eredivisie relegation zone.

Winless in their last eight matches across all competitions, head coach Maurice Steijn was unsurprisingly removed as head coach after a 4:3 defeat against Utrecht last weekend. Remarkably, Ajax have collected just five points from seven league matches this season. 

However, while the Dutch are in terrible shape, Brighton´s great early-season form has also dipped in recent weeks. The Albion have failed to win their last five matches after a 3:1 loss at Man City last time out. 

Both teams remain without a win in Europa League Group A. Ajax have picked up two points after back-to-back draws with Marseille (3:3) and AEK (1:1). Brighton have just one point after their home loss against AEK (2:3) and a subsequent 2:2 draw against Marseille in France. 

Given both team's recent performances and results, we have to expect a high-scoring fixture on Thursday. Brighton have seen BTTS in their last 11 successive home matches while nine of those also saw over 2.5 goals scored. Likewise, Ajax have seen the same two outcomes in four of their last six matches while five of their last six on the road also saw BTTS.

With home advantage, Brighton might be fancied to claim the points by many, but I´m going for goals with BTTS/over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals also likely outcomes on Thursday.

Best bookmakers for Brighton vs Ajax match

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton team news

Head Coach De Zerbi has more concerns after Brighton´s weekend defeat at Man City. 

Irish forward Evan Ferguson could drop out after being withdrawn in the first half at the weekend. 

Julio Enciso, Jakub Moder, Pervis Estupinan and Tariq Lamptey are all definite absentees for the home side.

Last matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Europa League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    3 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  5. AEK Athens

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Europa League

Brighton & Hove Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jason Steele

Defenders

  • 6

    James Milner

  • 29

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 5

    Lewis Dunk

  • 34

    Joel Veltman

Midfielders

  • 13

    Jason Steele

  • 6

    James Milner

  • 29

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 5

    Lewis Dunk

  • 34

    Joel Veltman

Forwards

  • 18

    Danny Welbeck

Ajax

Ajax team news

Ajax arrives in England with a fully fit but off-form squad available. 

Silvano Vos could return to the selection after he was suspended for the defeat at Utrecht.

Last matches of Ajax

  1. Ajax

    2 : 2

    PEC Zwolle

    Eredivisie

  2. Ajax

    3 : 1

    AEK Athens

    Europa League

  3. Ajax

    2 : 1

    Sparta Rotterdam

    Eredivisie

  4. RKC Waalwijk

    2 : 3

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

  5. NEC Nijmegen

    1 : 2

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

Ajax lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Jay Gorter

Defenders

  • 2

    Devyne Rensch

  • 37

    Josip Sutalo

  • 30

    Gaston Avila

  • 4

    Jorrel Hato

Midfielders

  • 38

    Kristian Hlynsson

  • 21

    Branco van den Boomen

  • 8

    Kenneth Taylor

Forwards

  • 11

    Carlos Borges

  • 9

    Brian Brobbey

  • 7

    Steven Bergwijn

Key Facts Brighton vs Ajax

  1. Brighton have seen BTTS in their last 11 home matches
  2. Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 home matches
  3. Brighton saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in their last 2 Europa League matches
  4. Ajax have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches
  5. Ajax have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of their last 10 matches

Main prediction Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

Bet365

2.3

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71 votes

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Brighton & Hove Albion & Ajax current standing in Europa League

Group B P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Brighton & Hove Albion 6 4 1 1 10 - 5 +5 13
2 Olympique Marseille 6 3 2 1 14 - 10 +4 11
3 Ajax 6 1 2 3 10 - 13 -3 5
4 AEK Athens 6 1 1 4 6 - 12 -6 4

Brighton vs Ajax - FAQ

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Brighton Player to Watch

Ansu Fati - The Spanish forward has scored two goals in his last four appearances for the Seagulls.

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Ajax Player to Watch

 Kristian Hlynsson - The Icelandic teenager scored twice in Ajax´s weekend loss at Utrecht.

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Where to Watch

This Europa League match can be viewed live on TNT Sports.