Inter vs Udinese prediction 09.12.2023

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

4 : 0

Udinese

Udinese

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 9th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Last year, Inter had a successful season only in Cup competitions after winning Coppa Italia and reaching the Finals in the Champions League, where they lost in a close match vs Manchester City. However, they were not as successful in the domestic league, finishing 3rd, 18 points behind the 1st-placed Napoli. This season, Inter are playing great in all competitions. They easily secured the Champions League knockout phase and are at the top of the Serie A with 35 points from 14 games. Even though Juventus are keeping up the pace with them, with only two points behind, Inter undoubtedly looks like the best team in Italy after more than the third of the season.

In the previous decade, Udinese have been mostly in the lower or middle part of the league's table. This year, Bianconeri had one of the worst starts in a while, as they found themselves once in 16th place with only 12 points - just two away from the danger zone. After the international break in October, the club tried to change its poor momentum by replacing the coach. Although the new coach, Gabriele Cioffi, insists that they are getting better, we cannot say we believe in his words. 

Inter vs Udinese pick: Inter to win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

This season, Inter are playing really well, as they lost only once in 19 games in all competitions. In Serie A, they won 11 of 14 games - 78.6%, with eight of those 11 wins coming by two or more goals difference. In the last game, Inter simply trashed last season's champs, Napoli, by 3:0 and coming to this game loaded with confidence. At home, Nerazzurri are on a three-game winning streak, and the game vs struggling Udinese is the perfect opportunity to extend it to four. 

Right now, with 33 goals in 14 games in Serie A (2.36 per game), Inter are by far the best offensive team in the Serie A. 

Udinese are underperforming this season, as they won just once in 14 Serie A games. The offense has been a major problem for them this season, considering they scored only 12 goals in 14 rounds. In the last game (3:3 vs Verona), they finally succeeded in scoring more than once - only for the second time this season. Still, that was at home, against one of the weakest teams in the league. All three goals were scored in a similar way, after nice crosses from the flanks. That is surely something Inzagi will have to stop, but considering he has a very tall defensive line, we do not think Udinese will have much success. On the other hand, Udinese's defense totally collapsed in the last two games, allowing six goals against Roma and Verona, and will have a difficult task of defending against the best offense in the league.

In the last five h2h games, Inter won four times, with three of those wins coming by two or more goals difference. Considering the previous h2h games and everything above, we believe Inter should secure a comfortable win at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Best bookmakers for Inter vs Udinese match

Inter Milan vs Udinese Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Inter Milan

    3 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  2. Udinese

    3 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Udinese

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    2 : 0

    Udinese

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    5 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter team news

Inter already secured the next phase of the Champions League, so there is no need to rotate the squad in this match, and we expect them to go full force against Udinese. 

In the previous game vs Napoli, Stefan de Vrij and Denzel Dumfries had to leave the field due to injuries and will miss the Udinese game. Besides them, Benjamin Pavar who already missed the previous few games, will remain sidelined. On the other hand, Alessandro Bastoni is very close to returning to the field. In one of his recent interviews, he insisted that he would be back for the Udinese game. 

The offensive duo of Martinez & Thuram have been simply great this season. In Serie A, Lautaro Martinez scored 13 and assisted three goals, while Marcus Thuram scored five and assisted nine goals. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    0 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    Champions League

  3. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Udinese

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    0 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  5. Benfica

    3 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 36

    Matteo Darmian

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

Midfielders

  • 7

    Juan Cuadrado

  • 23

    Nicolo Barella

  • 20

    Hakan Calhanoglu

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 10

    Lautaro Martinez

Udinese

Udinese team news

A key central defender, Jaka Bijol, is the newest name on the injury list. The 24-year-old Slovenian missed the previous game vs Verona with an ankle injury and will most likely remain sidelined for at least two more weeks. Besides Bijol, the ones who missed the previous few (or more) games will remain sidelined: Brenner, Keinan Davis, Gerard Deulofeu, Enzo Ebosse, and Vivaldo Semedo. 

On 24th October, the club sacked Andrea Sottil and appointed Gabriele Cioffi the day after. Under the new coach, Udinese are only slightly better, as they average one point per game, while under Sottil, that number was 0.9. 

Last matches of Udinese

  1. Udinese

    3 : 3

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  2. AS Roma

    3 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  3. Udinese

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    0 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  5. Udinese

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Coppa Italia

Udinese lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Marco Silvestri

Defenders

  • 2

    Festy Ebosele

  • 13

    Joao Ferreira

  • 27

    Christian Kabasele

  • 18

    Neuhen Perez

  • 33

    Jordan Zemura

Midfielders

  • 24

    Lazar Samardzic

  • 37

    Roberto Pereyra

  • 11

    Walace

  • 32

    Martin Payero

Forwards

  • 7

    Isaac Success

5 Reasons why Inter should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Inter won 11 of 14 Serie A games
  2. Inter scored 33 goals in 14 rounds - 2.36 per game
  3. Udinese allowed six goals in the last two games vs Verona and AS Roma
  4. Udinese won just once in 14 Serie A games
  5. Inter won four of the last five h2h games

Main prediction Inter Milan - Udinese

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Betwinner

1.86

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13 votes

Yes 62%

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No 38%

Additional predictions

Inter Milan & Udinese current standing in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 17 14 2 1 41 - 7 +34 44
2 Juventus 17 12 4 1 26 - 11 +15 40
3 Milan 17 10 3 4 31 - 20 +11 33
4 Bologna 17 8 7 2 21 - 12 +9 31
5 Fiorentina 17 9 3 5 26 - 18 +8 30
6 Roma 17 8 4 5 30 - 19 +11 28
7 Napoli 17 8 3 6 28 - 21 +7 27
8 Atalanta 17 8 2 7 28 - 20 +8 26
9 Lazio 17 7 3 7 18 - 18 0 24
10 Torino 17 6 6 5 15 - 17 -2 24
11 Monza 17 5 6 6 16 - 18 -2 21
12 Lecce 17 4 8 5 19 - 23 -4 20
13 Genoa 17 5 4 8 18 - 22 -4 19
14 Frosinone 17 5 4 8 22 - 28 -6 19
15 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 25 - 32 -7 16
16 Hellas Verona 17 3 5 9 15 - 23 -8 14
17 Udinese 17 1 11 5 15 - 28 -13 14
18 Cagliari 17 3 4 10 16 - 31 -15 13
19 Empoli 17 3 3 11 10 - 30 -20 12
20 Salernitana 17 1 6 10 14 - 36 -22 9

Inter vs Udinese - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 1.74.

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How much is the average xG for Udinese this season?

The average xG for Udinese in the Serie A this season is 1.3.