Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction 13.12.2023

• Competition: Champions League
• Date: Wednesday, 13th December 2023
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
• Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Newcastle and AC Milan are in a tough spot. Both teams collected only five points from five Champions League rounds, so they are two points behind second-placed PSG. The winner of the Newcastle versus AC Milan game can still progress to the knockout phase, but only if PSG have a bad game against Borussia Dortmund. If PSG progresses, the game between Newcastle and AC Milan will be only for third spot. 

Newcastle have a bad season as they are only 7th in the Premier League. Eddie Howe's team is trailing seven points behind the top-four spots in the strongest English competition, so they will require a lot of effort to get there. Newcastle won only one of the last four matches. In the previous game, they lost 4-1 on the road against Tottenham. The home side was much better. According to the stats, Tottenham had xG of 3.99, while guests had only 1.52, so it is no wonder Newcastle stayed empty-handed again. 

AC Milan lost two of the last three matches, so the decisive Champions League tie is coming in the wrong moment for Stefano Pioli's team. In the previous game, they lost 3-2 on the road against Atalanta. XG stats show (Atalanta - 3.29, AC Milan 1.18) that the home side had much better goal-scoring opportunities, so their win was well-deserved. 

Newcastle vs AC Milan pick: Both teams to score - yes

Neither Newcastle nor AC Milan are playing well, so it is hard to trust any of them. Still, both teams are scoring almost regularly, so both teams to score - yes should be the best betting option for this tie.