RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim prediction 16.12.2023

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3 : 1

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

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  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Saturday, 16th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UTC / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

RB Salzburg quickly became one of the best teams in Germany, but considering the amount of money the owners put into this project, no one was really surprised. Last year, they won the German Cup and finished 3rd in Bundesliga, just five away from the title. This season, they are playing fine and are currently 4th in the league with 29 points after 14 rounds. Yes, they are already seven points behind the league's leader, but Bayer Leverkusen had simply an incredible start to the season. Also, Rose's squad secured the knockout phase of the Champions League by finishing 2nd in the group with Manchester City, Young Boys, and Crvena Zvezda. 

Last season, Hoffenheim had one of the worst seasons since coming to Bundesliga back in 2008/09 season. They did finish 11th, but only three points away from the relegation playout! This season, the Blues had an excellent start, but due to a poor month and a half, they dropped slightly in the standings. Currently, they are 6th with 23 points - six away from their next opponents, RB Leipzig. 

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim pick: RB Leipzig to win and cover the -1 AH spread

RB Leipzig are in good form, winning three games in a row against solid competition. At home, their winning streak is even better, with five wins and 16 scored goals - 3.2 per game. So far, RB Leipzig have won five of seven home games in the Bundesliga, with four of those five wins coming by two or more goals. Also, with only five conceded goals at Red Bull Arena, RB Leipzig are the best defensive (home) team in the league.

Hoffenheim had a rough period in November and at the start of December when they won just two points in five games. They stopped the bleeding with a 3:1 home win against Bochum in a pretty close game. This season, the Blues were excellent on the road, but in recent games, that was not the case, as they failed to win in the previous three road matches. 

Additionally, Hoffenheim are having massive injury problems, especially on the offensive end, and will have a hard task of scoring against one of the best defensive teams in the league.

In the previous h2h games, RB Leipzig absolutely dominated Hoffenheim, winning the last four matches. Considering the previous h2h games, home-pitch advantage, and Hoffenheim's poor road run, we think RB Leipzig should secure a sixth home win in a row. 

Best bookmakers for RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim match

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RB Leipzig

    1 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    3 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    DFB Pokal

  3. Hoffenheim

    1 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    3 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Hoffenheim

    2 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team news

Willi Orban and Dani Olmo will remain sidelined with injuries. Both players missed more or less the entire current season with the mentioned injuries. 

On the other hand, Timo Werner recovered from his injury and played 17 minutes in the previous game vs Young Boys. The 27-year-old striker scored just two goals in 14 appearances this season, and he will surely not start the game, but he is a valuable asset to the rotation. 

In the previous game in the Champions League, coach Marco Rose heavily rotated the squad to keep his squad fresh for the upcoming Bundesliga game, considering they had already secured the next phase of the UCL. 

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. RB Leipzig

    3 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    2 : 1

    Young Boys

    Champions League

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    2 : 1

    Heidenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Manchester City

    3 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Janis Blaswich

Defenders

  • 39

    Benjamin Henrichs

  • 2

    Mohamed Simakan

  • 23

    Castello Lukeba

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 14

    Christoph Baumgartner

  • 8

    Amadou Haidara

  • 24

    Xaver Schlager

  • 20

    Xavi Simons

Forwards

  • 9

    Yussuf Poulsen

  • 17

    Lois Openda

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim team news

The team will have massive injury problems, especially up front. The Blues could miss up to four offensive players. Maximilian Beier is ill, while Wout Weghorst suffered an injury in the previous game vs Bochum. Those two scored ten and assisted four goals this season in the league. In addition, Mergim Berisha has been sidelined with a long-term injury, while Ihlas Bebou is having knee problems. If they all miss the game, coach Pellegrino Matarazzo will only have Andrej Kramaric and Marius Bulter available upfront. 

Also, besides those whom we mentioned, the team will miss Dennis Geiger, Marco John, and Bambas Conte, who will remain sidelined with injuries. 

A starting central defender in the previous games, Kevin Akpoguma, served his one-game suspension vs Bochum and should be back in the starting lineup.

Last matches of Hoffenheim

  1. Hoffenheim

    3 : 1

    Bochum

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia M`gladbach

    2 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. Hoffenheim

    1 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  4. Augsburg

    1 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Hoffenheim

    2 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

Hoffenheim lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oliver Baumann

Defenders

  • 3

    Pavel Kaderbek

  • 22

    Kevin Vogt

  • 25

    Kevin Akpoguma

  • 41

    Attila Szalai

Midfielders

  • 6

    Grischa Promel

  • 16

    Anton Stach

  • 40

    Umut Tohumcu

  • 29

    Robert Skov

Forwards

  • 27

    Andrej Kramaric

  • 21

    Marius Bulter

4 Reasons why RB Leipzig should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. RB Leipzig won five home games in a row
  2. Hoffenheim won one point in the last three road games
  3. Hoffenheim could miss key offensive players for this game
  4. RB Leipzig won the previous four h2h games

Main prediction RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Do you agree with Nikola qq ?

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Nikola qq

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21 votes

Yes 71%

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21 votes

No 29%

Additional predictions

RB Leipzig & Hoffenheim current standing in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 46 - 12 +34 42
2 FC Bayern München 15 12 2 1 49 - 15 +34 38
3 VfB Stuttgart 16 11 1 4 37 - 19 +18 34
4 RB Leipzig 16 10 3 3 38 - 17 +21 33
5 Borussia Dortmund 16 7 6 3 30 - 25 +5 27
6 Eintracht Frankfurt 16 6 6 4 26 - 20 +6 24
7 TSG Hoffenheim 16 7 3 6 32 - 30 +2 24
8 SC Freiburg 16 7 3 6 21 - 26 -5 24
9 Heidenheim 16 6 2 8 25 - 32 -7 20
10 VfL Wolfsburg 16 6 1 9 20 - 27 -7 19
11 FC Augsburg 16 4 6 6 24 - 31 -7 18
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 16 4 5 7 31 - 35 -4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 4 8 23 - 30 -7 16
14 VfL Bochum 1848 16 3 7 6 18 - 33 -15 16
15 FC Union Berlin 15 4 1 10 17 - 31 -14 13
16 FSV Mainz 05 16 1 7 8 13 - 28 -15 10
17 FC Köln 16 2 4 10 10 - 28 -18 10
18 Darmstadt 98 16 2 4 10 20 - 41 -21 10

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig this season?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season is 1.77.

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How much is the average xG for Hoffenheim this season?

The average xG for Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this season is 1.46.