Barcelona vs Almería prediction 20.12.2023

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

3 : 2

Almería

Almería

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  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Wednesday, 20th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 18:00 UK / 19:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Lluís Companys (Barcelona)

Due to financial problems, Barcelona are not the dominant team they once were. However, through their academy and smart free transfers, the Catalan team are managing to stay among the best teams in Spain. Last year, they managed to win La Liga title, but failing to come out of the group phase of the UCL in the previous two seasons was a massive failure. This season, Barcelona are having success in the Champions League, where they secured the knockout phase, but in La Liga, they are slowly losing pace. With only one point in the last two La Liga games, Barca are already six points behind the league's leader, Girona, and with one more played game. 

Last season, Almeria barely secured survival in La Liga, as they finished the season just one point above the relegation zone. However, this season is not looking promising for the Andalusian team. Right now, Almeria are the last-placed team with only five points in 17 rounds and already eight points below the safe zone. If something doesn't change quickly, Almeria will most likely get relegated.

Barcelona vs Almeria pick: Barcelona to win and cover the -2 AH spread

Barcelona are in terrible form, winning only one point in the last three games in all competitions. Still, we cannot say they are playing poorly, but the lack of goals is simply too much to handle. For example, in the last game vs Valencia, on the road, Barca drew 1:1 while having 3.52 xG. That is something that keeps happening and something they will have to change very soon. Now, the Catalan team will now face the worst defensive team in the league, which is the perfect opportunity to fix that problem. Also, at Estadio Olimpico, Barcelona are doing really well. They won ten of 12 games in all competitions, losing only to Girona and Real Madrid. 

Almeria are the only team in La Liga without a win after 17 rounds! Away from home, they are simply terrible, as they lost seven of eight matches with a devastating 21 conceded goals - 2.63 per game.

In the previous h2h game at Camp Nou, Barcelona won 2:0. This time, the game will be played on Estadio Olímpico Lluís Companys, where Barcelona played very well throughout the season. Even though Barcelona are in some kind of mini-crisis, they are simply a much better team, and we expect a comfortable win against the worst team in La Liga. 

FC Barcelona vs Almería Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Almería

    1 : 0

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    2 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    4 : 0

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. Almería

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  5. FC Barcelona

    4 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

FC Barcelona

Barcelona team news

A key midfielder, Frankie de Jong, received a fifth yellow card and will serve his one-game suspension vs Almeria. Considering Gavi is out with an injury, we might see Ilkay Gundogan, Pedri, and Oriol Romeu in the midfield. 

The players who missed the previous games due to injuries will remain sidelined: Gavi, Inigo Martinez, Marcos Alonso, and their best goalkeeper, Marc-André ter Stegen. 

Interestingly, according to statistics, despite having the most "big" chances in the top five leagues in 2023/24, Barca's conversion rate is only 31%, which is the 76th-best. 

Last matches of FC Barcelona

  1. Valencia

    1 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  2. Antwerp

    3 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  3. FC Barcelona

    2 : 4

    Girona

    La Liga

  4. FC Barcelona

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. FC Barcelona

    2 : 1

    Porto

    Champions League

FC Barcelona lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Inaki Pena

Defenders

  • 2

    Joao Cancelo

  • 4

    Ronald Araujo

  • 23

    Jules Kounde

  • 3

    Alejandro Balde

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ilkay Gundogan

  • 18

    Oriol Romeu

  • 8

    Pedri

Forwards

  • 11

    Raphinha

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

  • 14

    Joao Felix

Almería

Almería team news

The team should have no new injuries or suspensions. Ibrahima Kone, Marko Milovanovic, Martin Svidersky, and Luis Suarez will remain sidelined, while Marc Pubill is close to returning to the field and is questionable. 

After a 0:0 draw versus Mallorca in the last game, coach Gaizka Garitano spoke to the media. He was unhappy with the performance and said they struggled to create chances and generally haven't been comfortable on the field. "I think we are on an upward trajectory as a team. We have to keep working," the coach added.

Last matches of Almería

  1. Almería

    0 : 0

    Mallorca

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  3. Barbastro

    1 : 0

    Almería

    Copa Del Rey

  4. Almería

    0 : 0

    Real Betis

    La Liga

  5. Getafe

    2 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

Almería lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Luis Maximiano

Defenders

  • 21

    Chumi

  • 22

    Cesar Montes

  • 3

    Edgar Gonzalez

  • 15

    Sergio Akieme

Midfielders

  • 17

    Alejandro Pozo

  • 5

    Lucas Robertone

  • 6

    Dion Lopy

  • 10

    Adri Embarba

Forwards

  • 12

    Leo Baptistao

  • 19

    Sergio Arribas

3 Reasons why Barcelona should win and cover the -2 AH spread

  1. Barcelona won ten of 12 home games in all competitions
  2. Almeria are the only winless team in La Liga
  3. Almeria lost seven of eight road games in La Liga

Main prediction FC Barcelona - Almería

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Additional predictions

Barcelona vs Almería - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

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How much is the average xG for Barcelona this season?

The average xG for Barcelona in La Liga this season is 1.98.

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How much is the average xG for Almeria this season?

The average xG for Almeria in La Liga this season is 1.44.