Salernitana vs AC Milan prediction 22.12.2023

• Date: 22.12.2023
• Competition: Serie A
• KO: 19:45 UTC / 20:45 CET
• Venue: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

AC Milan face a trip to the Stadio Arechi on Friday as they take on bottom-of-Serie A opponents Salernitana.

Salernitana vs AC Milan Betting Tips - Over 2.5 goals

An entertaining and competitive contest should be expected despite Salernitana´s current status as the lowest ranked side in Serie A. While picking up just eight points from 16 matches, Pippo Inzaghi ́s side have showed they are capable of upsetting the odds with a home win against Lazio in November. Unfortunately, that surprise win remains their only victory of the season.

Of course, Milan should be expected to claim the points but the Rossoneri are not in great form and they have already failed to win four of eight road matches this season, including each of their last three. Six of Milan´s last seven away matches saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals while they leaked at least two goals in four of those matches. Stefano Pioli´s side also saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored on their last two visits to this venue in recent seasons while they failed to win two of their last three contests with Friday´s hosts. 

Salernitana have also produced some consistent goal numbers in recent weeks. The hosts have seen over 2.5 goals scored in their last five matches while both scored in four of those games. They have also seen over 2.5 netted in four of their last five on home soil. 

Ultimately, the over 2.5 goal selection looks to offer the best value considering both teams leaky defences in recent weeks. I also fancy BTTS but over 2.5 goals is my primary pick for Friday´s Serie A clash at the Stadio Arechi.