Luton vs Newcastle prediction 23.12.2023

• Competition: Premier League
• Date: Saturday, 23rd December 2023
• Kickoff: 15:00 UK/16:00 CET
• Venue: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

This season, it seems that it is very clear which three teams are the weakest in the Premier League and which players should be relegated. Luton is among them with five points fewer than the safe zone. Rob Edwards's team has problems defending but also creating goal-scoring chances. Actually, Luton has problems keeping the ball in their possession too often. Although the team from Bedfordshire has problems on both sides of the pitch, they put a few solid performances in the previous weeks. Last weekend, Luton had a game against Bournemouth, but it was abandoned after Tom Lockyer collapsed in the 65th minute. Until that moment, Luton was 1-1, and that was another solid game from Rob Edwards's squad, who definitely improved or at least looked much more organized than most of the season. 

Newcastle have ambitions to become the best in the world, but after a great previous season, they are not looking that good right now. After 17 league rounds, Newcastle collected only 29 points, so they are ten points behind the league leader, Arsenal. Eddie Howe's team has had big problems lately, especially in defense, so they won only one of the previous five games in all competitions. On Tuesday, Newcastle lost after penalties in the EFL Cup on the road against Chelsea. Guests had ball possession of 22% and four shots on the goal, so the home side probably deserved a much easier win. 

Luton vs Newcastle pick: Luton to cover AH +1 spread

Luton lost only two of the last four matches at the home stadium. The only two losses were with one goal margin and came against strong Liverpool and Manchester City. On the other hand, Newcastle won only one of the last nine road games. Luton to cover AH +1 spread should be a good bet for this tie.