Marseille vs Lyon prediction 06.12.2023

Marseille

Marseille

3 : 0

Lyon

Lyon

The match has ended, you can view football predictions for today and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Wednesday, 6th December 2023
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UTC / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

On Wednesday evening, two French giants that have underperformed this season in the domestic league will face off in a match that should have been played around a month ago but was postponed after Marseille fans attacked Lyon's team bus. 

Marseille have been among the best teams in France in recent years, constantly securing Europe. This year, they are nowhere as good as they are 9th with only 17 points, already ten behind the 3rd place, which leads to the Champions League. The atrocious road record is the primary reason for their poor season so far. On the other hand, performances in the Europa League are the only bright spot for Marseille, as they are 1st in a very tough group with Ajax, Brighton, and AEK Athens.

Lyon are playing probably the worst season in the 73-year-old history, as they are the last-placed team on the league's table with only seven points in 13 rounds. Right now, they are already six points away from the danger zone. Interestingly, the popular Les Gones are generating good looks and are the 5th best team according to xG stats, but they are simply unable to score and are currently the second-worst offensive team with only 11 scored goals despite that excellent xG statistics. 

Marseille vs Lyon pick: Marseille to win

Marseille are a totally different team home and away, as they lost all five matches this season away from home. At Stade Vélodrome, Les Phocéens are still undefeated in ten games, with four wins in the last five. They have been simply great in those recent home games, scoring 12 goals and keeping a clean sheet in three of those five games. 

Lyon have been terrible this season, winning just once in 13 rounds. That win came against Rennes, but we have to take it with a pinch of salt, considering Rennes received a red card in 5th minute of the game. Still, Lyon barely secured a 1:0 win regardless. So, if it weren't for that red card, Lyon could easily be the only team without a win in Ligue 1 this season. 

In the previous season, these teams met twice, with both teams winning their home games. Now, considering Lyon's terrible season and Marseille's good performances at home, we expect a comfortable win for Marseille.

Best bookmakers for Marseille vs Lyon match

Marseille vs Lyon Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    1 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    0 : 3

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lyon

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille team news

Iliman Ndiaye received a straight red card in the previous game vs Rennes and will serve his suspension against Lyon. A former Sheffield United forward was far from impressive this season, as he scored just once and assisted three in 20 appearances. So, his absence might not be such a big problem for Marseille. 

Midfielder Pape Gueye is also suspended for breaching the pre-contract with Watford. The 24-year-old midfielder has been suspended for four months, and after the Lyon game, he should be available. 

The team's captain and one of the best midfielders, Valentin Rongier, will miss his sixth consecutive game with a knee injury. He will most likely miss at least two or three more months. Another injured player is Joaquinn Correa, who missed the previous game with an ankle injury. His injury isn't too serious, and he will most likely be back by the end of the month.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Marseille

    2 : 1

    Clermont

    Ligue 1

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Europa League

  3. Lorient

    2 : 4

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    2 : 0

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Pau Lopez

Defenders

  • 7

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 4

    Samuel Gigot

  • 99

    Chancel Mbemba

  • 12

    Renan Lodi

Midfielders

  • 27

    Jordan Veretout

  • 11

    Amine Harit

  • 8

    Azzedine Ounahi

Forwards

  • 23

    Ismaila Sarr

  • 10

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

  • 9

    Vitinha

Lyon

Lyon team news

After the international break, the club tried to change the team's momentum by sacking the coach, Fabio Grosso, and appointing Pierre Sage as a caretaker manager. In the first game under the new coach, Lyon lost 3:2 vs Lens. 

Due to injuries, the team will miss two midfielders, Corentin Tolisso (calf injury) and Johann Lepenant (knee injury). Also, the team will miss a backup goalkeeper, Remy Riou, who has a muscle injury. Still, that is not too important, as Anthony Lopes would start anyway. 

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    3 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    3 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lyon

    0 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Rennes

    0 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anthony Lopes

Defenders

  • 22

    Mata Clinton

  • 5

    Dejan Lovren

  • 12

    Jake O'Brien

  • 3

    Nicolas Tagliafico

Midfielders

  • 6

    Maxence Caqueret

  • 18

    Rayan Cherki

  • 80

    Skelly Alvero

Forwards

  • 7

    Mama Baldé

  • 10

    Alexandre Lacazette

  • 37

    Ernest Nuamah

4 Reasons why Marseille should win against Lyon

  1. Marseille are undefeated in ten home games this season
  2. Marseille won four of the last five home games
  3. Lyon won just once in 13 Ligue 1 games
  4. Marseille won the previous h2h game at Stade Velodrome

Main prediction Marseille - Lyon

Marseille to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Marseille & Lyon current standing in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 17 12 4 1 42 - 14 +28 40
2 Nice 17 10 5 2 19 - 9 +10 35
3 Monaco 17 10 3 4 33 - 22 +11 33
4 Brest 17 9 4 4 25 - 15 +10 31
5 LOSC Lille 17 7 7 3 21 - 14 +7 28
6 Olympique Marseille 17 7 6 4 25 - 18 +7 27
7 Lens 17 7 5 5 21 - 17 +4 26
8 Reims 17 8 2 7 22 - 23 -1 26
9 Strasbourg 17 6 5 6 18 - 22 -4 23
10 Rennes 17 4 7 6 23 - 22 +1 19
11 Le Havre 17 4 7 6 16 - 19 -3 19
12 Montpellier 17 4 7 6 19 - 21 -2 18
13 Nantes 17 5 3 9 19 - 28 -9 18
14 Metz 17 4 4 9 16 - 27 -11 16
15 Olympique Lyonnais 17 4 4 9 16 - 27 -11 16
16 Toulouse 17 2 8 7 15 - 23 -8 14
17 Lorient 17 2 6 9 21 - 35 -14 12
18 Clermont 17 2 5 10 11 - 26 -15 11

Marseille vs Lyon - FAQ

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Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the CANAL+ Sport 2 channel.

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How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.45.

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How much is the average xG for Lyon this season?

The average xG for Lyon in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.59.